http://faculty.tamu-commerce.edu/emanton/Blocklogo.jpg

                         power point presentation    solutions to problems

                                                 BA 578
                                                                            Statistical Methods

                                                                      Course Syllabus (summer)

Professor:

  Dr. Ed Manton

E-Mail:

Edgar_Manton@tamu-commerce.edu

  

Office:

           

 BA317

 

  

Office Hours:

T 5:30-6pm(UCD)

W 10:00am-12noon; 
      1:30pm-3:00pm   

R  5:30am- 6pm(UCD)   

Phone:

 

903.886.5684 (office)
903.886.5693 (fax)

 

 

 

Required Text

Business Statistics, In Practice Bruce L. Bowerman, Richard T. O'Connell, Emily S. Murphree, McGraw-Hill Irwin, 6th Edition, 2009, ISBN-0-07-340183-8.

Course Description

A course dealing with statistical concepts including measures of central tendency and dispersion, probability distributions, the Central Limit Theorem, sampling, estimation, hypothesis testing, analysis of variance, correlation and regression analysis, multiple regression and statistical forecasting.

Course Objectives

The objective of this course is to provide an understanding for the graduate business student on statistical concepts to include measurements of location and dispersion, probability, probability distributions, sampling, estimation, hypothesis testing, regression, and correlation analysis, multiple regression and economic forecasting. By completing this course the student will :

1) know the definition of the variance and the standard deviation.

2) be able to use the binomial distribution tables to solve a problem.

3) be able to use the normal distribution table to solve a problem.

4) will know the central limit theorem.

5) be able to test a hypothesis as well as a calculate confidence interval for a population parameter.

6) will be able to test a statistical hypothesis using Z and p-value.

7) know how to test difference between two sample means.

8) know how to compute and interpret the results of a one-way ANOVA.

9) know how to compute and interpret the results of a Chi-Square test for independence as well as a test for homogeneity.

10) know how to calculate and interpret the results of regression and correlation analysis.

11) be able to determine from an Excel print out, the analytical factors for a multiple regression problem analysis.

12) understand how to forecast for time series using stationary methods, trend methods and seasonal methods.

Grading Policy

Evaluation of student performance will be based primarily upon two equally weighted tests (45% each). The remaining 10% will be awarded for the assigned problems. Grades for the course will be determined by achieving the following average ranges:

 

Average Range

Grade

90-100

A

80-89

B

70-79

C

60-69

D

Below 60

F

 

 

Attendance Policy
Attendance is mandatory. Anticipated absences for work related reasons should be explained to instructor in advance. Students are expected to be on-time for class. Class room door may be locked after class commences.

 

Classroom Demeanor
"All students enrolled at the University shall follow the tenets of common decency and acceptable behavior conducive to a positive learning environment." See Student's Guide Book.

Special Accommodations
Students requesting accommodations for disabilities must go through the academic support committee. For more information , please contact the Director of Disability Resources and Services , G-Library., Room 132, 903-886-5835.

 

Statement of Ethical and Professional Conduct:

           The College of Business and Technology at Texas A&M University-Commerce faculty, staff and students will follow the highest level of ethical and professional behavior.  We will strive to be recognized as a community with legal, ethical and moral principles and to teach and practice professionalism in all that we do.

           In an academic environment we will endeavor to not only teach these values but also to live them in our daily lives and work.  Faculty and staff will be held to the same standards and expectations as our students.

           Failure to abide by these principles will result in sanctions up to and including dismissal.

Actionable Conduct:

          There are five different types of actions that will bring sanction.  They are:

  1. Illegal activity:  Violation of any local, state or federal laws that prohibit the offender from performance of his or her duty.
  1. Dishonest Conduct:  Seeking or obtaining unfair advantage by stealing or receiving copies of tests or intentionally preventing others from completing their work.  In addition falsifying of records to enter or complete a program will also be considered dishonest conduct. 
  1. Cheating:  The unauthorized use of another’s work and reporting it as your own.
  1. Plagiarism: Using someone else’s ideas and not giving proper credit.
  1. Collusion:  Acting with others to perpetrate any of the above actions regardless of personal gain.

Sanctions:

            In the case of staff or faculty the immediate supervisor will be the arbiter of actionable behavior and will use Texas A&M University-Commerce and/or Texas A&M University System Policy and Procedures as appropriate to guide sanctions.

            Faculty, guided by clearly delineated policy in the course syllabus, will be the arbiter for in-class violations.  All violations will be reported to the Dean of the College of Business and Technology to assure equity and to provide appropriate counsel.  In addition, the Dean will maintain records of violations by students.  Second violations will be reviewed by the Dean and sanctions beyond those of the faculty up to and including suspension and permanent expulsion from Texas A&M University-Commerce will be considered. Faculty and students are guided by the current undergraduate and graduate catalogs of the University as well as The Student’s Guidebook.

           
Faculty, staff and students will always be afforded due process and review as appropriate.

Students with Disabilities:

The Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) is a federal anti-discrimination statute that provides comprehensive civil rights protection for persons with disabilities.  Among other things, this legislation requires that all students with disabilities be guaranteed a learning environment that provides for reasonable accommodation

Class Schedule
The schedule will depend on class progress; chapter assignments and tests may be altered as the class progresses. Students should read chapters, do as many of the homework problems as possible and be familiar with the chapter summaries and the end of chapter sef-examinations.

Schedule of Assignments

The schedule will depend on class progress; chapter assignments and tests may be altered as the class progresses. Students should read chapters and do as many of the designated homework problems as possible and be familiar with the chapter summaries and key terms.

NOTE THE FOLLOWING:

  1. The assignments listed are tentative for the semester. It is meant to be a guide. Certain topics may be stressed more or less than indicated in the text and, depending on class progress, certain topics may be omitted.
  2. Homework: Homework problems will be assigned, but will not be collected or graded. Selected problems will be solved in class during lectures. Solution to homework problem can be found at this link. Several problems from the homework may be assigned to be solved using the computer.
  3. You will be informed, at least one week before each of the four exams.
  4. Missed examination: A missed examination may be made-up during the week of final exams. This make-up exam will be comprehensive.

UNIT 1 
(Chapters 1- 8)

Text Assignment

Designated Homework Problems

Date        (Week of )

                   Chapter Goals

Chapter 1
Introduction to Business Statistics

 

1.1,2,3,4,5,15,16,17

 

June 7

1. Define inferential and descriptive statistics.

2. Differentiate between a quantitative and a qualitative variable.

3.Differentiate between a discrete and a continuous variable.

4. Know the four levels of measurement – nominal, ordinal, interval, and ratio.

 

Chapter 2  Descriptive Statistics: Tabular and Graphical Methods

2.17,34

June 7

1.Construct a frequency distribution.

2.Determine the class midpoints, relative frequencies, and cumulative frequencies of a frequency distribution.

3.Construct a histogram, a frequency polygon, an ogive, and a pie chart.

 

Chapter 3
Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Methods

3.2,3, 8, 16, 17,18,19, 20, 21, 22, 23,24, 27, 28, 30,31

June 7

1. Define the mean, mode, and median.

2. Explain the characteristics of the mean,    mode, and median.

3. Calculate the mean, mode and median for both grouped and ungrouped data.

4. Define the range, mean deviation, variance, and the standard deviation.

5. Explain the characteristics of the range, mean deviation, variance, and the standard deviation.

6. Calculate the range, mean deviation, variance, and the standard deviation for grouped and ungrouped data.

7. Define Skewness and Kurtosis.

8. Define and calculate the coefficient of variation.

 

Chapter 4
Probability

4.2, 3, 8,9, 11,13,19, 20,21, 27,29, 43,49

June 7

 

1.Define probability.

2. Define marginal, conditional, and joint probabilities.

3. Use the special and general rules of multiplication and addition in probability computation.

4. Calculate marginal, conditional, and joint probabilities.

 

Chapter 5
Discrete Random Variables

5.1, 3,13,  23, 24, 27, 28, 32,34,35,45, 47, 48

June 14

 

1. Define probability distribution and random variable.

2. Calculate the mean, variance, and standard deviation of a discrete distribution.

3. Describe the characteristics and compute probabilities using the binomial probability distribution – use of tables.

4. Calculate the mean variance and standard deviation of a binomial distribution.

5. Describe the characteristics and compute probabilities using the Poisson distribution – use of tables. 

Chapter 6
Continuous Random Variables

Hand in assigned problem in class on June 15 hand in manual Excel and Mega Stat Solutions.

6.16,18,19, 23, 24, 26, 28, 29, 31, 33, 34,37, 40, 67, 71

 

 

June 14

1. Describe the characteristics of and compute probabilities involving the normal distribution – use of tables.

2. Use the normal distribution as an approximation of the binomial distribution.

Chapter 7
Sampling Distributions   (Section 1.5)

7.9,10, 11, 12, 14, 16,18, 19,21,22,23,24, 25, 28, 29, 34

 

 

June 14

1. Describe various sampling techniques.

2. Explain the Central Limit Theorem.

3. Explain sampling error.

4. Describe the sampling distribution of means.

5. Define the standard error of the mean.

Chapter  8
Confidence Intervals

8.5, 10, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17, 19, 20, 22, 29, 30, 39, 40, 41

June 14

1. Calculate confidence intervals for sample means and sample proportions.

2. Describe the characteristics of Student’s t distribution.

3. Use the Student’s t probability table to calculate confidence interval

Midterm exam

 

 

June 22

Subject to class progress

 

 

 

 

 

 

UNIT 2 
 (Chapters 9 -14)

 

Text Assignment

Homework           Problems

Date        (Week of )

Chapter Goals

Chapter 9 Hypothesis Testing

 

9.3, 4, 5, 6, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 30, 43, 44, 51, 53, 56, 73, 75

June 21

 

 

 

 

 

1.Identify Type I and Type II errors.

 2. Conduct a test of hypothesis about a population mean and a population proportion.

 3.  Conduct the test of hypothesis using one and two tail tests.

 4. Conduct the test of hypothesis regarding one population mean with a small sample.

 Chapter 10
Statistical Inferences Based on Two Samples

10.6,7,8,16,20,21,22,38,39,41,50,51

 

 

June 21

1. Conduct a test of hypothesis about the difference between two population means involving large and small sample sizes and two population proportions.

2. Conduct the test of hypothesis regarding the difference in means of two independent samples.

Chapter 11   Experimental Design and Analysis of Variance

 

11.34

 

June 21

1. Understand the differences between various experiment designs and when to use them.

2. Compute and interpret the results of a one-way ANOVA.

3. Compute and interpret the results of a random block design.

4.  Compute and interpret the results of a two-way ANOVA.

Chapter  12         Ch-square Tests

12.6,7,9,17,19,20,24,25

June 28

1. Understand and interpret interaction.

2. Understand the chi-square goodness-of-fit test and how to use it.

3.  Analyze data by using the chi-square test of independence.

Chapter 13
Simple Linear Regression Analysis  (sections 2.6 and 3.4)

13.8,12,15,20,21,22,36,37,38,39,40

June 28

1. Describe the relationship between an independent variable and a dependent variable.

2.  Calculate and interpret the coefficient of correlation, the coefficient of determination and the standard error of the estimate.

3.  Calculate the least squares regression line and interpret the slope and intercept values.

4. Test the slope of the line for statistical significance.

5. Construct and interpret a confidence interval and prediction interval for the mean and an individual value of the dependent variable.

Chapter 14   Multiple Regression

 

14.4,5,9,10,11,19,20

 

 

June 28

 

1. Describe the relationship between two or more independent variables and the dependent variable using a multiple regression equation.

2. Compute and interpret the multiple standard error of the estimate and the coefficient of determination.

3. Conduct a test of hypothesis to determine if any of the set of regression coefficients differs from zero.

Chapter 15  Model Building and Model Diagnostics 

Hand in assigned problem 7 and 8 on July 5. Solve #7 manually by Excel and by Megastat. Solve #8 by Excel and Megastat only.

15.3,6,7,8,25,33

July 5

1. Develop models to represent non-linear relationships

 

Final Exam

 

 

Thursday

July 8